Solving problem N3905 Bayesian probability theory

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Uploaded: 12.02.2019
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3905. At the enterprise manufacturing the locks, the first workshop produces 20%; the second is 50%; third is 30%. Defective products for these workshops are respectively 5%, 4%, 2%. a) find the probability that a randomly selected lock will be defective. b) a randomly selected lock turned out to be defective. Most likely, in what shop it is made?

Additional information

Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)

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