Solving problem N3887 Bayesian probability theory

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3887. The collector receives 25% of the details of plant number 1, 35% of plant number 2 and 40% of plant number 3. The probability that a part of factory number 1 of excellent quality is 0.8, for factory number 2, 0.7, for factory number 3, 0.9. For good luck, the part taken by the assembler turned out to be of excellent quality, what is the probability that it was developed by plant No. 1?

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  • Content type File
  • Content description 28 kB
  • Updated on the site 08.02.2019
Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)

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Solving problem N3887 Bayesian probability theory
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Cumulative discount

30 $ the discount is 10%
20 $ the discount is 7%
18 $ the discount is 6%
15 $ the discount is 5%
12 $ the discount is 4%
9 $ the discount is 3%
6 $ the discount is 2%
3 $ the discount is 1%
Check your discount

Amount of purchases from the seller:  $

Your discount:  %

Cumulative discount

30 $ the discount is 10%
20 $ the discount is 7%
18 $ the discount is 6%
15 $ the discount is 5%
12 $ the discount is 4%
9 $ the discount is 3%
6 $ the discount is 2%
3 $ the discount is 1%
Check your discount

Amount of purchases from the seller:  $

Your discount:  %

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