Solving problem N3741 Bayesian probability theory

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Uploaded: 25.01.2019
Content: teorver_3741.doc 36 kB

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3741. From the first machine comes to the assembly of 80% of parts, and from the second - 20% of the same parts. On the first machine, the defect is 1%, and on the second - 5%. Proven detail was defective. What is more likely: this part is made on the first machine or is it made on the second machine?

Additional information

Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)

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