Solving problem N4048 Bayesian probability theory
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4048. The shop receives the same type of products from three factories, with the 1st plant supplying 10% of the products, the 2nd plant - 50%, the 3rd plant - 40%. Among products of the 1st plant, 70% are top-notch, among products of the 2nd - 90%, of the 3rd - 80%. Bought one product. It turned out to be first-rate. Determine the probability that the purchased product is produced by the 1st plant.
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- Content type File
- Content description 27,5 kB
- Updated on the site 26.02.2019
Additional description
Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)
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Solving problem N4048 Bayesian probability theory
1
Sold <10
0 000 X
Secure deal
Instant delivery
Cumulative discount
| 30 $ | the discount is 10% |
| 20 $ | the discount is 7% |
| 18 $ | the discount is 6% |
| 15 $ | the discount is 5% |
| 12 $ | the discount is 4% |
| 9 $ | the discount is 3% |
| 6 $ | the discount is 2% |
| 3 $ | the discount is 1% |
Check your discount
Amount of purchases from the seller: $
Your discount: %
Cumulative discount
| 30 $ | the discount is 10% |
| 20 $ | the discount is 7% |
| 18 $ | the discount is 6% |
| 15 $ | the discount is 5% |
| 12 $ | the discount is 4% |
| 9 $ | the discount is 3% |
| 6 $ | the discount is 2% |
| 3 $ | the discount is 1% |
Check your discount
Amount of purchases from the seller: $
Your discount: %